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Predictions...

...from a blog entry I wrote back in November 2004,

"PocketPC (PPC) users beware...I think that form factor is going into a convergence period with Portable Media Centres (PMC). PPC with no phone capability are dead, having to carry a phone as well just doesn't work. The c500 is small, lightweight, has very good battery life and I think its a historic device - the first useable, multi-function device that sits easy in the pocket and doesn't require charging every 5 minutes!"

...and now this has just been published - IDC report [via Gizmodo]

"According to market intelligence firm IDC, sales of PDA devices without phone capabilities are down 9 straight quarters in a row. Obviously, with smartphones having more and more PDA functionality due to faster chips and better software, people don't feel the need to carry around both a cellphone and a PDA."

Hmmmm, its nice to see a prediction coming true...some others,
  • UMPC form factor will catch on as a consumer unit that is automatically synch'ed at work and home and this form factor will uniformly have some type of biometric for user authentication.
  • Touch screen displays will become more common on desktop and laptops with more finger, less mouse control evident.
  • Home automation technology "Z-Wave" will take off
...however I'm not going to be offering any odds on these! ;-)

Got a prediction and want it recorded for "bragging rights" in those "...I said that ages ago..." situations? Then please leave it as a comment and lets see how right you were...

Comments

Anonymous said…
Got any predictions for the World cup? I think Holland to win. Australia out in the first round!
12 May 2006, 04:01:00
Unknown said…
Hi Glyn, good to hear from you mate!

I think your predictions are pretty good - Holland to win could be worth a bet! Aussies out 1st round...good solid Kiwi prediction!

Any predictions for the Toffees next season?!
15 May 2006, 09:39:00
Anonymous said…
Hi, I understand you have fled the Conchango nest. What are you up to now? I see from the blog posts you are still into the mobile world pretty heavily.

my email now is gjones@ecngroup.co.nz
15 May 2006, 23:13:00
Anonymous said…
And a solid 7th for the men in blue next season. C'mon Everton!
15 May 2006, 23:14:00
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